--- product_id: 74140700 title: "Incerto, Deluxe Box Set" price: "€ 264.48" currency: EUR in_stock: true reviews_count: 13 url: https://www.desertcart.hr/products/74140700-incerto-deluxe-box-set store_origin: HR region: Croatia --- # Incerto, Deluxe Box Set **Price:** € 264.48 **Availability:** ✅ In Stock ## Quick Answers - **What is this?** Incerto, Deluxe Box Set - **How much does it cost?** € 264.48 with free shipping - **Is it available?** Yes, in stock and ready to ship - **Where can I buy it?** [www.desertcart.hr](https://www.desertcart.hr/products/74140700-incerto-deluxe-box-set) ## Best For - Customers looking for quality international products ## Why This Product - Free international shipping included - Worldwide delivery with tracking - 15-day hassle-free returns ## Description Incerto (Deluxe Edition): Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game [Taleb, Nassim Nicholas] on desertcart.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Incerto (Deluxe Edition): Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Review: One of the best series I've read in a long time. - I'm a professional Data Scientist with almost a decade of experience at this point and throughout my whole career I've had a deep sense of unease with expert knowledge, prediction, and the successes and failures of models both machine learning and statistical. I ran across NNT in various places for his radical, but rigorous take downs of many statistical concepts that I had developed independently. I think I came into the profession having high esteem of correlation, then had even less of it excepting in linear domains, and then an NNT video destroyed the rest as he pointed out some basics (the majority of interesting real world data sets aren't linear). From there I devoured many of his white papers, his videos, and great twitter feed. So this year I decided to buy this series and get even further into his work. As I'm finishing up Skin in the Game right now (with the technical companion on the way) I can say that this series is fantastic for the practitioner or layman alike. These books will describe many of the failures of statistics, modeling, prediction, and why they occur in a readable manner for any college (or perhaps well read layman) to digest even if one doesn't understand the mathematics. You'll have less respect for experts (but also less respect for contrarians who disregard the experts) and a more thorough understanding of the many dimensions these failures reverberate through in medicine, philosophy, social sciences, finance, economics, politics and more. I myself will probably have to read it again. As with all great thinkers, I don't know if I agree with 100% of NNT's opinions in this book, but like those great thinkers, his thinking is almost completely unique and even when you disagree with him you have to really think about why you disagree with him. I hope this series and the rest of his works survive the great filter into the future where works of utility to mankind end up. Can't recommend it enough. Review: Acid-free high-quality paper - For those that care, it's acid-free paper that feels good to the hand. Not sure why they don't include this in the description. I wish I wouldn't have to buy a book to make sure it's not printed on toilet paper. ## Technical Specifications | Specification | Value | |---------------|-------| | Best Sellers Rank | #119,590 in Books ( See Top 100 in Books ) #14 in Social Philosophy #37 in Stock Market Investing (Books) | | Customer Reviews | 4.8 4.8 out of 5 stars (467) | | Dimensions | 7.1 x 6.9 x 10.56 inches | | ISBN-10 | 198481981X | | ISBN-13 | 978-1984819819 | | Item Weight | 8.8 pounds | | Language | English | | Print length | 1856 pages | | Publication date | July 30, 2019 | | Publisher | Random House | ## Images ![Incerto, Deluxe Box Set - Image 1](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/71AJzbpwN4L.jpg) ## Customer Reviews ### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ One of the best series I've read in a long time. *by C***N on August 26, 2022* I'm a professional Data Scientist with almost a decade of experience at this point and throughout my whole career I've had a deep sense of unease with expert knowledge, prediction, and the successes and failures of models both machine learning and statistical. I ran across NNT in various places for his radical, but rigorous take downs of many statistical concepts that I had developed independently. I think I came into the profession having high esteem of correlation, then had even less of it excepting in linear domains, and then an NNT video destroyed the rest as he pointed out some basics (the majority of interesting real world data sets aren't linear). From there I devoured many of his white papers, his videos, and great twitter feed. So this year I decided to buy this series and get even further into his work. As I'm finishing up Skin in the Game right now (with the technical companion on the way) I can say that this series is fantastic for the practitioner or layman alike. These books will describe many of the failures of statistics, modeling, prediction, and why they occur in a readable manner for any college (or perhaps well read layman) to digest even if one doesn't understand the mathematics. You'll have less respect for experts (but also less respect for contrarians who disregard the experts) and a more thorough understanding of the many dimensions these failures reverberate through in medicine, philosophy, social sciences, finance, economics, politics and more. I myself will probably have to read it again. As with all great thinkers, I don't know if I agree with 100% of NNT's opinions in this book, but like those great thinkers, his thinking is almost completely unique and even when you disagree with him you have to really think about why you disagree with him. I hope this series and the rest of his works survive the great filter into the future where works of utility to mankind end up. Can't recommend it enough. ### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Acid-free high-quality paper *by G***I on January 29, 2026* For those that care, it's acid-free paper that feels good to the hand. Not sure why they don't include this in the description. I wish I wouldn't have to buy a book to make sure it's not printed on toilet paper. ### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Printing quality and reasonable price *by R***N on January 31, 2026* Excellent quality ## Frequently Bought Together - Incerto (Deluxe Edition): Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game - Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails: Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, and Applications (Revised Edition) (Technical Incerto) - Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options --- ## Why Shop on Desertcart? - 🛒 **Trusted by 1.3+ Million Shoppers** — Serving international shoppers since 2016 - 🌍 **Shop Globally** — Access 737+ million products across 21 categories - 💰 **No Hidden Fees** — All customs, duties, and taxes included in the price - 🔄 **15-Day Free Returns** — Hassle-free returns (30 days for PRO members) - 🔒 **Secure Payments** — Trusted payment options with buyer protection - ⭐ **TrustPilot Rated 4.5/5** — Based on 8,000+ happy customer reviews **Shop now:** [https://www.desertcart.hr/products/74140700-incerto-deluxe-box-set](https://www.desertcart.hr/products/74140700-incerto-deluxe-box-set) --- *Product available on Desertcart Croatia* *Store origin: HR* *Last updated: 2026-05-22*